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The Status Quo Copper Fell After The Copper Industry
Copper fell after the copper industry, the status quo
CBI this week, 18 copper metal is selected sample of enterprises as research to understand the copper industry, production status and market outlook is expected. Research are as follows:
Started a general decline in the rate of emergence
This total capacity of 18 copper producers and 97.8 million ton / year, equivalent to consumption of copper on volume of 81.5 thousand tons / month. Data show that actual monthly business survey in January of refined copper consumption was 2.82 tons, the overall operating rate of 34.6%, down by 31.8% compared to November fell 12.6 percent capacity utilization rates continue to decline. Among them, air-conditioning control the operating rate of enterprises continued to decline, due to the Spring Festival approaching, some of the low rate of business start early vacation plans, some companies are still orders for implementation of last year, this year signed a single new unfavorable to enable enterprises to carefully control the operating rate.
In January a small increase in business inventories of raw materials
From the research results can be seen, brass on copper raw material inventories accounted for 15.5% of the amount of about 13.1%, compared with November a small increase. This is mainly because the current round of higher energy prices and make a lot of enterprises believe that the bottom price of copper has been recovered, there are also stocking before the holiday production requirements, thus increasing the proportion of stock, but a precaution, an increase is not significant.
Copper exports in January compared to 21.3%, a decline of
The survey of 18 companies in January exports of about 0.6 million tons, accounting for 21.3% of total output, ring in November compared with 26.1% slightly down 4.8%. Proportion of the decline in exports was mainly due to decline in external demand, Christmas, New Year's Day not see double the demand picked up after the holiday spending even more depressed, so the proportion of export orders fell.
Significantly weaker than in previous years, pre-holiday stocking
As the New Year period, a sharp rebound in copper prices outside the disk market, to stimulate buying up buying after watching the psychological, but also close to Chinese New Year, the lower stocking an increase in consumption a brief resume. Stocking of the Spring Festival this year, research brass enterprises, 55.6% of the enterprises indicated that the downstream order uncertainty, early holiday stocking at risk, do not intend to this year's stocking. While 44.4% of businesses would be the appropriate stocking, but it will strictly control the purchases will not be a large number of purchases. Domestic premium high, many companies in order to be imported from overseas mainly stocking. Overall, the volume of preganglionic prepared and enthusiasm are obviously weaker than in previous years.
Business-to-order is expected next month, declined largely
From the research results can be seen, 39% of firms expect orders for next month will be a slight decrease compared with the month, mainly due to the lower pre-holiday rush orders may be increased, but the Festival will become more stable, and still in the off-season orders are still optimistic. Another 22% of the enterprises, by contrast, that the orders will increase, due to Chinese New Year holiday in January by the impact of the lower start rate is low, demand falls, while the post-holiday demand will grow after the resumption of production. There are 22% of businesses affected by the recent price fluctuations, and that the instability of copper a greater impact on orders, so orders is expected to hold an uncertain point of view. The remaining 17% of enterprises believe that next month's orders will be flat this month. (Sample size: 18)
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